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civilizational decline

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A smartphone mounted on a tripod, the person it is filming visible only on its screen
Behavioral ScienceFebruary 14, 202621 min read

The Terminal Vanity

This analysis explores how civilizations manage inherent inequalities from a "biological lottery." It contrasts India's "attribute repression" with the West's "attribute commodification," arguing the latter risks a "terminal civilization" due to extreme individual autonomy.

civilizational declinecultural comparisondemographicsenvy management
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A derelict factory yard with rusted machinery and overgrown ground
Political ScienceDecember 7, 20259 min readEvergreen

There Is No Late Stage

The productivity slowdown, the hollowed-out middle, and the long decline in business dynamism are each well documented. The stage theory that binds them into a single arc of civilisational decline is not — and since 2023 the three have been moving in different directions, which is exactly what a cycle is not supposed to do.

civilizational declineeconomic growthevidencehistory
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