ThenkaiThenkai
Tag

macro

5 posts

A grayscale photograph of an empty, abandoned interior
Political ScienceMay 9, 20268 min readEvergreen

The 401(k) Doesn't Exclude You. It Scales With What You Already Have.

The usual story about the pension shift is that coverage collapsed. It didn't. Participation hit its highest level since 2010 and increased across the whole income distribution — while the mean balance for the bottom half of earners fell, during a stock market boom.

economic growthevidencefiscal policymacro
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A red 'Home For Sale' sign staked in the gravel yard of a newly built house
Political ScienceJanuary 23, 202612 min readEvergreen

The Gap Isn't Income. It's Whether You Already Own Something.

Two countries, one mechanism. When assets appreciate faster than wages, the price of joining the owning class rises faster than the means of paying for it — and the same salary buys a smaller claim on the future every year. The US and Canada fail at this in mirror-image ways.

economic growthevidencemacropolitical economy
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A ₹2,000 Indian rupee banknote
Political ScienceJanuary 4, 202611 min read

Tamil Nadu's Debt Argument Is Conducted in the Wrong Units

Two official figures for the same year differ by five percentage points, and each side quotes the one that suits it. The more interesting number is that Tamil Nadu collects 10.4% of GSDP in revenue where a median state collects 19.9% — and has pushed subsidies from roughly 8% of spending to 37% in four years.

dmkeconomic developmentfiscal policygovernance
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An aerial view of a dense Indian market street packed with stalls and people
Behavioral ScienceDecember 27, 20259 min read

The Interconnectedness of Power

Explore the intricate dance of power across micro, meso, and macro levels. This post delves into how individual and family dynamics intertwine with institutional structures and broader societal forces, creating complex feedback loops that shape our world.

macromesomicropower
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A derelict factory yard with rusted machinery and overgrown ground
Political ScienceDecember 7, 20259 min readEvergreen

There Is No Late Stage

The productivity slowdown, the hollowed-out middle, and the long decline in business dynamism are each well documented. The stage theory that binds them into a single arc of civilisational decline is not — and since 2023 the three have been moving in different directions, which is exactly what a cycle is not supposed to do.

civilizational declineeconomic growthevidencehistory
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